2020 will be a bellwether year for Philadelphia Eagles quarterback Carson Wentz.
After playing 16 games in 2019 and winning the NFC East, he was injured in the Wild Card game against Seattle. He enters the 2020 NFL season healthy, having added 13 pounds of muscle in the offseason. Oh yeah, he also became a dad and is now a vocal leader on a team increasingly known for involvement in social justice initiatives.
With all these things swirling around, Wentz enters the season with new faces in the huddle. He’s learned to trust some rookies and new pieces. While he threw for more than 4,000 yards last season, no wide receiver accumulated 500 yards. That will likely (hopefully) change.
If he can stay healthy and connect with his offensive weapons, Wentz and the Eagles have a chance to reignite that offensive fire from the 2017 Super Bowl run. He has a unique combination of size, arm strength, elusiveness and instinct that could carry the franchise and cement his seat as the QB1 in Philadelphia.
All that being said, New Jersey online sportsbooks have priced some Wentz props for this season. Expectations are high for 2020, and the Eagles’ odds show it. (All odds listed below as of 4 p.m. EST Sept. 8.)
Passing yards: 4,500 yards for Wentz?
Wentz finished 2019 with 4,039 yards thrown over 16 games, both career highs for a season. He did so even with big names like Alshon Jeffrey and DeSean Jackson missing stretches of games with injuries and others making backbreaking drops that cost the team wins.
Should Wentz complete another 16-game slate, those numbers could come in much higher. Some fantasy projections have him breaking his personal high, perhaps getting 4,500 yards. NJ sportsbook apps, however, are keeping the over-under at or near 3,900 passing yards. Take a look:
|3900.5 yards (-110)||3899.5 yards (-112)||3925.5 yards (-110)||3925.5 yards (-110)||3900.5 yards (-110)|
Touchdowns: Odds show a weaker year for Wentz
Wentz set a franchise record in 2017 with 33 passing touchdowns in 13 games before injuring his knee at the L.A. Coliseum. He did that in a year where he only threw for 3,296 yards.
2020 presents a weaker schedule than previous years, with an average opponent winning percentage of .486. Fantasy projections have him around 27 touchdowns for the year, with one prognosticator calling for 32 on the year. Here are the totals on the prop boards and odds at NJ books for passing touchdowns leader:
|27.5 TDs (-110)||27.5 TDs (-108 over, -118 under)||27.5 TDs (-110)||No total offered||27.5 TDs (-110)|
|+1400||+2000||No price offered||+1600||+1400|
Interceptions: It’s the fumbles that are a problem
After 14 picks in his first season, Wentz threw seven interceptions each of the last three seasons. His INT rate is among the lowest of starting QBs in the league.
Of course, Eagles fans will tell you it’s not the interceptions that concern them. He’s got to STOP FUMBLING THE BALL! Hopefully, the added muscle and increased rollouts can help him maintain his accuracy and hold onto the ball when being rushed.
Most predictors keep the 2020 total at seven interceptions. However, PointsBet NJ offers a “most interceptions thrown” market that puts Wentz near the bottom at +4000.
|9 INTs (-110)||9.5 INTs (-150 over, +125 under)||9 INTs (-110)|
NFL MVP: Is this the year for Carson Wentz?
Wentz was the frontrunner for MVP in 2017 before injuring his knee against the LA Rams in Week 13. Tom Brady won that season, but Wentz got to hold the Lombardi Trophy after the Eagles beat Brady’s New England Patriots in Super Bowl LII.
Wentz’s December 2019, when he went 4-1 with practice squad players to win the NFC East, could have earned him some votes for the award. However, Lamar Jackson was the unanimous winner. Here are the odds on Wentz to win MVP in 2020: