Missing NFL betting already? Well, for those who don’t like waiting, the Super Bowl LVII futures market is open.
Garden State sports gamblers, who wagered a record $143 million surrounding Super Bowl LVI, know that Sept. 8 will be here before they know it. That date marks the start of the 2022-23 season. The game odds are still months away from being posted.
For now, betting on next year’s champion sets the stage. Yes, some odds may make bettors chuckle.
Super Bowl LVII futures at NJ sportsbooks
What are the Eagles, Giants and Jets odds of winning Super Bowl LVII?
At DraftKings Sportsbook, the Philadelphia Eagles are a considerable longshot at +4000 to win the big game and +1600 to win the NFC.
The New York Giants and New York Jets are in the Act-of-God territory to capture Super Bowls.
Big Blue is +8000 or 80-1 to win the Super Bowl, +4000 for the NFC.
The Jets are +15000 or 150-1 to pour the Gatorade and +8000, 80-1, to capture the AFC.
At Caesars Sportsbook, the Eagles opened at +4000 to win the Super Bowl and +1800 to claim the NFC.
The Giants resemble a Hail Mary at +1000 (100-1) for the Super Bowl and +5000 (50-1) for the NFC crown.
And the Jets are a double Hail Mary at +20000 (200-1) for the Super Bowl and +10000 (100-1) for the AFC.
Funny, that’s right about where the Cincinnati Bengals were before this season. Books had them anywhere from +12500 and +15000 to win it all.
They came within a couple of plays of completing the ultimate rags-to-riches campaign, from a 4-11-1 last year to a Super Bowl.
Few people believe the Jets will climb those heights next year, but recent history shows it can be done.
There will always be some New Jersey online sports bettors who backed a longshot well before the team was taken seriously.
One time to find that value is now.
A note about division races. When they go up, prices will be good.
The Eagles would only have to top the Giants, Cowboys and the newly-renamed Washington Commanders. Those odds can easily reach double figures either before or during the season.
Division betting races are excellent buy-on-the-dip propositions, in which gamblers can load up on a team on the inflated odds that go up after a regular-season loss.
NFL futures began as euphoric Big Game party exit
Las Vegas brick-and-mortar establishments established this practice a few decades back. They enticed visitors leaving town right after the game to wager one for the road.
Gamblers had descended upon Sin City from across the country to make legal Super Bowl bets. They made a weekend out of it. They partied, they gambled and some players won.
Knowing they could not return for a while, they placed a futures bet before leaving Vegas. This gave them automatic action the following year, even if betting wasn’t legal in their states.
The spread of legal sports betting updated that philosophy. Want to stop by the book now?
Call it up on your phone. Look over the odds, select a team and boom, you’re futures are now.
Super-Bowl champion values are outstanding in the middle and bottom of the pack, while the favorites reflect odds that will probably last well into next regular season.
Super Bowl futures at DraftKings: ‘People grabbing Rams and Bengals’
The Kansas City Chiefs and Buffalo Bills opened as +750 chalk.
The Super Bowl LVI champion Los Angeles Rams were +1000
The perennially over-bet Dallas Cowboys were +1400. So were the San Francisco 49ers and the Bengals.
The Green Bay Packers were +1600.
The Denver Broncos were a lower-than-expected +2000, reflecting speculation that reigning MVP Aaron Rodgers will go there. If he doesn’t, those odds should rocket higher, probably higher than where the Eagles stand.
Some values could be worth seizing now.
“Some people have already been grabbing the Rams at 10-1 and the Bengals at 14-1,” Johnny Avello, the director of race and sportsbook operations for DraftKings, told PlayNJ. “But for the rest of the teams, there are a lot of unknowns.
“Who is going to be the quarterback for the Tampa Bay Bucs [with Tom Brady’s announced retirement if it stands]? Who will be the quarterback for the Packers [based on whether Rodgers stays] or the Broncos? [Where he’s rumored to go].
“People are not sure about who will be running the show for these teams, but the important thing is that we have to get the bets up there. If you don’t, people will ask you where it is.
“So, we put it up, let the people bet it all they want and if we have to adjust it, we will,” Avello added.
NFL MVP longshots
Rodgers became the fifth NFL player to gain the MVP in back-to-back seasons last week, and he opens as the co-favorite at Caesars Sportsbook to win a third straight one at +700 along with Patrick Mahomes.
Only fellow Packers gunslinger Brett Favre has accomplished the feat, doing so from 1995-97.
Eagles quarterback Jalen Hurts is the team’s top representative, at +4000.
“I think people could be a little hesitant to bet Rodgers until they know where he’s going to go,” said Adam Pullen, assistant director of trading at Caesars Sportsbook.
“People are already looking for bigger values anyway, so it wouldn’t surprise me if there wasn’t as much action on him like last offseason,” Pullen said. “Depending on where he goes, maybe his odds would go up slightly just with having to learn a new system and develop chemistry with new teammates. But if he takes a team like Denver to the playoffs, he’s going to be viewed as the reason why.”
Here is a look at the odds for other top QBs in the early MVP conversation:
- Josh Allen, Buffalo Bills +900
- Joe Burrow, Bengals +1200
- Justin Herbert, Los Angeles Chargers +1400
- Matthew Stafford, Rams +1500
Tennessee Titans star Derrick Henry is the first running back listed at +1800, ahead of Cowboys quarterback Dak Prescott +2200 and Baltimore Ravens quarterback Lamar Jackson, +2200.
Super Bowl LVI MVP Cooper Kupp is the wideout with the lowest odds at +2500, where he is also joined by Cardinals dual-threat weapon Kyler Murray.
Jonathan Taylor of the Indianapolis Colts opened at +3000.
“I think last year showed us it’s not going to be quarterbacks only in the MVP race,” Pullen said. “What [Jonathan] Taylor and Kupp did and all the attention they got, they’re going to be in the mix.”
Brady, incidentally, opened +4500, matching the age he will reach in August. If he stays retired, bettors will receive a refund on him.
AP Photo/Jason Behnken