There are a number of words that can used to describe Super Bowl betting props. Wild, the wacky, and the wonderful are three that come to mind.
And Super Bowl 55, taking place Feb. 7 in Tampa, will be no exception.
Just as the NFL and the networks try to outdo themselves each year, NJ online sportsbooks target Garden State bettors with a barrage of options.
Here are some notable Super Bowl props currently available at NJ online sportsbooks.
DraftKings + and forward pass prop
DraftKings Sportsbook unfurled a prop for how many players will attempt a forward pass.
This one is always interesting. Over 2.5 pays + 165. The under costs – 215.
What you are hoping for, essentially, is a backup quarterback to come in or for a trick play.
We saw the New England Patriots and Tennessee Titans do this in recent years.
The over nearly came in on this bet two years ago.
Punter Johnny Hekker of the Los Angeles Rams, who had thrown a pass on a fake punt earlier in the playoffs, looked ready to do it again on one of the early series. However, a delay of game penalty killed the chance.
Want to stretch the bet a little further?
Three or more players to complete a pass is +250.
You think someone other than quarterbacks Tom Brady and Patrick Mahomes will throw a TD? If at least three players hurl a touchdown pass, it’s +1100.
William Hill + Super Bowl
Will a missed field goal hit the upright? Yes was +375 on Monday morning at William Hill.
A “doink’ is insurance for a field goal you wanted made or a potential parlay with the bet of any team missing two field goals, which is +450.
Will there be three unanswered scores? This is -175 for yes and +155 for no. The books think either of these teams will get on a roll.
How do you like reasonable longshots?
If Rob Gronkowski of the Bucs and Travis Kelce of the Chiefs each score the first touchdown for their respective teams, that’s +4000. Both are capable and Tampa Bay gives up a lot of yards to tight ends. This is an excellent return on, admittedly, a tough proposition.
But will either team get ahead and stay ahead?
Kansas City to score first and win is +220. But if the Chiefs score first and lose, that’s +350 at William Hill.
For Tampa Bay to score first and win, it’s +240. For Tampa Bay to score first and lose that’s +300.
The nice part of this bet is that gamblers don’t have to focus on individuals. This pays less than many player props, but offers a reasonable chance of success.
FanDuel + margin of victory
FanDuel Sportsbook is offering something a little more conservative, yet still creative, with victory-margin bands.
They appear in the 5-, 6- and 10-point range, giving bettors a chance to pinpoint or even hedge for a good profit.
Kansas City to win by 1-6 points is +340 while the the payout is from 7-12 points is +480.
Tampa Bay pays +390 for a win of between 1-6 points, and a margin of 7-12 is +700.
Both pay far better than a moneyline and, if combined, provide a nice margin of points for a bet to fall into.
Combine the margins? Yes. If you bet Kansas City $20 to win outright at -174 it pays a profit of 11.49 on the moneyline.
What happens if you split that $20, taking two $10 plays on Kansas City to win by 1-6 points at +340 and Kansas City to win by 7-12 at +480?
The 1-6 payout creates a profit of $34, the 7-12 returns a profit of $48.
You can take the angle of Kansas City winning outright, wager a realistic margin between 1-12 points and be better off than the moneyline play.
The Bet MGM potpourri
Those who bet on the Chiefs in Super Bowl 54 may want to take a look at the BetMGM spotsbook props menu.
The Chiefs set an NFL record in last year’s Big Game. Remember they were trailing the San Francisco 49ers by 10 points in the fourth quarter before winning the game, 31-20.
Well, for Sunday’s game, bettors have the option of wagering on a similar scenario unfolding, If the Chiefs trail the Bucs by nine points at any stage of the game, but go on to win by nine or more points it pays +600.
And there are other scoring props, too. Will the first touchdown of the game be a Tampa Bay rushing touchdown?
The yes is + 600. This is a good price for a difficult, but not impossible task.
Other BetMGM notes
Darren Darby, sports trader at BetMGM, says “Patrick Mahomes and Tom Brady are the most popular picks by bettors to win Super Bowl MVP.”
“Mahomes is an even money favorite, with nearly half of all BetMGM’s handle on the Chiefs quarterback to win the award,”said Darby.
Here are a few other Super Bowl MVP fun facts from BetMGM:
- There is 3X as much money on Mahomes as Brady to win the Super Bowl MVP.
- There are 57 players with odds to win the Super Bowl MVP.
- Cameron Brate, tight end for the Buccaneers, is the only player with no bets
- Patrick Mahomes opened +130, now +100
- Tom Brady opened +240, now +200
- Travis Kelce opened +800, now +1000
- Tyreek Hill opened +800, now +900
All of this is just a sample of the two-week wagering feast. And that’s just before the game.
The line movements will not be the story most days. It will be what novelty plays or props just got added.
Super Bowl betting extra points
Some NJ sportsbooks have the first quarter to produce the most points with a payout of nearly +500.
That prompted some research. The last two times it happened was 2007 and 1997.
Players may be a little tight in the first quarter.
The second quarter has traditionally outperformed it. The second period also affords the two-minute warning and possibly six timeouts split the between the teams.
The third quarter follows a long halftime show while the fourth quarter may or may not be relevant.
Nonetheless, honing in on the right quarter for the highest-scoring is a worthwhile prop.