Oscars Betting: Three Locks You Shouldn’t Ignore Before You Place Your Bet

Posted By Adam Frazier on February 21, 2019 - Last Updated on April 13, 2020

With the final round of Oscar voting in process, we’re just a few days away from the 91st Academy Awards ceremony on Feb. 24.

Before you get those last-minute Oscars betting picks in, take a look at three locks for the big night. Yes, there are potential upsets too, but here’s where everything is pretty much set in stone.

Best Actor: Rami Malek

American actor Rami Malek’s breakthrough role came as computer hacker Elliot Alderson in USA Network‘s series Mr. Robot (2015–present).

You may also know him for his supporting role on the HBO miniseries The Pacific, his voiceover work in video games such as Until Dawn, or Netflix’s animated series BoJack Horseman.

Now, the actor will forever be linked to Queen’s charismatic frontman, Freddie Mercury, after portraying him in Bryan Singer’s biopic Bohemian Rhapsody.

Malek, who worked with a movement coach to re-create Mercury’s memorable performances, has earned several accolades already, including Best Actor – Motion Picture Drama at the Golden Globes, the Screen Actors Guild Award for Best Actor and the British Academy Film and Television Award (BAFTA) for Best Actor.

Since 2004, SAG and the Academy have aligned 13 times.

William Hill NJPlayMGM Sportsbook, and FanDuel Sportsbook have Malek at -500, but most other NJ online sports betting sites go higher. For instance, DraftKings Sportsbook lists Malek at -670.

Best Actress: Glenn Close

Legendary actress Glenn Close is known for her work in films such as The Big Chill, The Natural, Fatal Attraction, and 101 Dalmatians.

Throughout her 45-year career, the versatile star of stage and screen has won three Tony Awards, three Golden Globes, a SAG Award, and three Primetime Emmy Awards.

In The Wife, Close stars as a woman who questions her life choices as she travels to Stockholm with her husband (Jonathan Pryce), a soon-to-be Nobel prize winner.

Her performance in the Sony Pictures Classics drama has earned her a Golden Globe, SAG Award and Critics’ Choice Movie Award for Best Actress for her performance, a nomination for the Academy Award for Best Actress, and the BAFTA Award for Best Actress.

When it comes to the Academy, Close is a seven-time Oscar nominee, meaning she has more nominations without a win than any other living actor.

With a chance to make history, the Academy will recognize Close for a career filled with terrific performances. Considering the actress won the SAG award — and actors make up the most significant percentage of the Academy — it’s already a done deal.

BetStarsNJ currently has Close as a -700 favorite, while Hard Rock and Caesars Sportsbook have the actress at -600.

Best Song: Shallow

Co-written and directed by star Bradley Cooper, A Star is Born follows a hard-drinking blues musician (Cooper) who discovers and falls in love with a talented, young singer-songwriter (Lady Gaga).

The National Board of Review selected the movie as one of the top 10 films of 2018. It earned five Globe nominations and eight Oscar nods. Those nods include Best Picture, Best Actor, Best Actress, Best Supporting Actor, and Best Original Song.

For reasons unknown, A Star is Born has all but disappeared from Academy Awards’ discussions.

While Cooper’s film seems destined to come up short in the major categories, it’s guaranteed to take home at least one Oscar award: Best Song for Shallow, written by Lady Gaga with Mark Ronson, Anthony Rossomando, and Andrew Wyatt.

The song topped the record charts in more than a dozen countries and has received a Globe for Best Original Song as well as four Grammy nominations, including Record of the Year and Song of the Year while winning Best Pop Duo/Group Performance and Best Song Written for Visual Media.

The Oscar experts over at GoldDerby currently have Gaga’s song as a 3-to-1 favorite, with 28 prognosticators selecting it as the top choice.

The song’s closest competition, All The Stars, from Black Panther by Kendrick Lamar and SZA, was picked as the top choice only once.

888 Sportsbook is taking bets on Best Original Song and currently has Shallow valued at -3335.

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Adam Frazier

Entertainment journalist Adam Frazier grew up in the heart of Appalachia, dreaming of an escape from the crushing mundanity of the rural South through the works of visionaries like George Lucas, Stan Lee, Steven Spielberg, and Stephen King. A storyteller at heart, Adam currently resides in Charlotte, North Carolina – the pimento cheese capital of the world – where he spends his time watching, writing, and writing about what he's watching.

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